Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -190 BRAD +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -5.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -4.3 (-2.3) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -4.4 (-2.4) | 142.0 (-6.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -3.8 (-1.8) | 142.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -3.9 (-1.9) | 141.8 (-5.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2021 | DUQ 78 – 70 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#67) | 2.2 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#41) | 1.11 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#49) | 1.08 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#35) | 0.585 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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