Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -1.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -0.8 (+7.2) | 128.5 (+19.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.7 (+7.3) | 129.7 (+18.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -0.4 (+7.6) | 129.0 (+19.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -0.9 (+7.1) | 130.5 (+17.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | DUQ 69 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 3-11 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#280) | -4.9 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#333) | -3.12 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#325) | -4.88 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#299) | 0.366 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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