In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–8 on winners spread MAE 8.0 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ James Madison +26.5 143.6 91% 48–87 ✓
Virginia @ Memphis +6.1 133.2 69% 54–77 ✓
Troy @ Ole Miss +9.9 147.7 82% 53–74 ✓
Stetson @ Florida International +2.4 144.7 61% 80–68 ✗
USC @ Alabama State -5.4 148.8 29% 79–59 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ High Point +5.6 149.7 72% 63–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Chattanooga +6.3 144.6 75% 66–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ Indiana State +21.6 151.9 90% 69–90 ✓
Cornell @ Siena -13.9 147.1 14% 95–74 ✓
Presbyterian @ Furman +9.9 156.4 82% 61–76 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina +10.5 143.8 82% 62–72 ✓
Northeastern @ Central Connecticut +2.2 138.9 61% 79–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Wright State +8.5 154.5 80% 82–92 ✓
Western Carolina @ Vanderbilt -4.5 140.6 34% 63–62 ✓
Merrimack @ Cincinnati +16.7 142.5 88% 49–65 ✓
Queens University @ Mercer +2.7 146.9 63% 65–84 ✓
Sacred Heart @ UAlbany +9.3 144.5 83% 79–93 ✓
Florida @ Michigan -1.8 157.2 44% 106–101 ✓
New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin +12.1 143.8 87% 72–75 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulsa +24.6 134.1 91% 50–79 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Loyola Chicago +13.5 135.6 87% 59–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois +12.2 142.7 84% 63–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Drake +22.9 152.1 91% 55–92 ✓
Houston Christian @ SMU +27.9 141.5 91% 53–89 ✓
North Florida @ Florida State +13.6 144.4 85% 75–91 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri State +12.9 139.3 86% 57–79 ✓
Marquette @ Providence -0.4 140.7 58% 57–72 ✗
Nicholls @ Maryland +12.6 142.9 87% 67–73 ✓
Montana @ UC Davis +1.6 141.3 56% 73–61 ✗
Southern Utah @ Montana State +2.0 140.3 58% 88–89 ✓
South Dakota @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.2 142.6 61% 76–96 ✓
Western Kentucky @ California Baptist +3.6 143.6 66% 73–70 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Saint Mary's +12.7 127.1 86% 34–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UCLA +8.8 136.0 76% 76–72 ✗
Western Illinois @ Central Arkansas +0.1 140.0 53% 65–54 ✗
Wofford @ Oklahoma State +9.0 150.6 78% 70–76 ✓
Longwood @ North Carolina Central -5.0 137.3 32% 70–79 ✗
UC San Diego @ California +2.0 144.9 55% 67–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.