I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Gallagher-Iba Arena · December 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -14.0 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money OKST -1100 / WOF +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +6 146 Won
Massey OKST -10.2 (-4.2) — —
Massey Totals — 155.2 (-9.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 55% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OKST -10.1 (-4.1) 149.4 (-3.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -9.0 (-3.0) 149.0 (-3.0) 79% ✓
Baseline ML OKST -9.0 (-3.0) 150.6 (-4.6) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OKST -8.0 (-2.0) 151.6 (-5.6) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST WOF
Overall 12-20 17-15
Conference 4-14 10-8
Home 10-8 11-2
Away 1-9 6-9
Neutral 1-3 0-4
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 71.0 73.1
Avg Pts Against 72.7 75.3
Massey 5.3 (#90) -0.3 (#179)
Bradley-Terry -1.00 (#268) 0.11 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#235) 0.14 (#169)
RPI 0.436 (#279) 0.496 (#177)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST WOF
FG% 45.3% 44.9%
3PT% 35.9% 34.2%
REB / G 38.1 38.8
OREB / G 11.2 11.0
AST / TO 1.26 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 52.9%
TOV% 18.5% 17.5%
ORB% 32.0% 29.6%
FT Rate 18.3% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 12.9%
DRB% 76.9% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 32.0%

Game Analysis

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