Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -8000 COPP +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +39 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -31.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -24.7 (+14.3) | 147.6 (-12.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -23.8 (+15.2) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -26.5 (+12.5) | 143.6 (-8.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -27.5 (+11.5) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | JMU 84 – 70 COPP |
| Dec 21, 2022 | COPP 107 – 100 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 1-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 2-8 |
| Away | 12-2 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#39) | -16.3 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#8) | -3.58 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.05 (#9) | -4.37 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#41) | 0.333 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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