Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -5000 COPP +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -29.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -14.2 (-0.2) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -14.9 (-0.9) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | JMU 87 – 48 COPP |
| Dec 21, 2022 | COPP 107 – 100 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#121) | -12.4 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#185) | -2.05 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#190) | -3.27 (#335) |
| RPI | — | 0.312 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 46.3% |
Game Analysis
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