Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -140 WIU +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +11 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -0.4 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -0.2 (-11.2) | 141.2 (-22.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -0.1 (-11.1) | 140.0 (-21.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -0.1 (-11.1) | 138.8 (-19.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -1.3 (-9.7) | 138.0 (-19.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | WIU 63 – 61 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#345) | -7.7 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#339) | -1.11 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#328) | -1.23 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#355) | 0.435 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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