Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -340 CARK +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -12.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -7.0 (-5.0) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -6.2 (-4.2) | 133.7 (-9.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -5.9 (-3.9) | 132.4 (-8.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -7.1 (-5.1) | 132.1 (-8.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | WIU 65 – 54 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#309) | -11.5 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#323) | -0.54 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#339) | -0.76 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.214 (#353) | 0.562 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 32.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 59.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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