Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MOST -2000 LIN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -17.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -15.6 (+6.4) | 143.0 (-7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -12.5 (+9.5) | 139.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -12.9 (+9.1) | 139.3 (-3.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -13.1 (+8.9) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | MOST 70 – 65 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#119) | -10.0 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#149) | -1.53 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#129) | -2.07 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#113) | 0.413 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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