Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -4000 CSUN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -11.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -13.4 (-17.4) | 135.0 (+13.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -7.8 (-11.8) | 135.5 (+12.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -8.8 (-12.8) | 136.0 (+12.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -9.1 (-13.1) | 137.1 (+10.9) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#95) | -1.9 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#208) | -0.14 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#189) | -0.76 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#258) | 0.447 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.