Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -1000 M-OH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +10 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -9.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -8.9 (+1.1) | 150.5 (+23.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -8.5 (+1.5) | 154.3 (+19.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -8.5 (+1.5) | 154.5 (+19.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -9.7 (+0.3) | 152.2 (+21.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | M-OH 83 – 76 WRST |
| Nov 9, 2024 | WRST 81 – 68 M-OH |
| Dec 23, 2022 | WRST 88 – 80 M-OH |
| Dec 5, 2020 | WRST 71 – 47 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#156) | -3.7 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#211) | -0.39 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#170) | -0.51 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#179) | 0.477 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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