Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WRST +102 M-OH -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -2.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.9 (-7.9) | 147.5 (+11.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.3 (-9.3) | 148.3 (+10.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -1.5 (-8.5) | 150.2 (+8.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.1 (-9.1) | 150.2 (+8.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | WRST 81 – 68 M-OH |
| Dec 20, 2023 | WRST 92 – 82 M-OH |
| Dec 23, 2022 | WRST 88 – 80 M-OH |
| Dec 5, 2020 | WRST 71 – 47 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 32-2 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 18-0 |
| Home | 11-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 9-5 | 14-0 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 86.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#117) | 5.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#241) | 2.38 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#205) | 2.92 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#206) | 0.493 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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