Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -213 STET +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -2.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -2.3 (-14.3) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -2.4 (-14.4) | 144.7 (+3.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -3.0 (-15.0) | 143.9 (+4.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -1.9 (-13.9) | 141.8 (+6.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | FIU 81 – 72 STET |
| Dec 5, 2021 | FIU 72 – 65 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#279) | -4.3 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#314) | -0.37 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#299) | -1.25 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#291) | 0.493 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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