Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | STET +150 FIU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -5.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -4.1 (-4.9) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -3.2 (-5.8) | 142.2 (+10.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.1 (-4.9) | 141.2 (+11.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -4.3 (-4.7) | 144.8 (+8.2) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | STET 80 – 68 FIU |
| Dec 5, 2021 | FIU 72 – 65 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#349) | -3.0 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#364) | -1.87 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.28 (#364) | -2.45 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.336 (#358) | 0.386 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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