We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Ocean Bank Convocation Center · December 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FIU -5.0 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +7 137 Won
Massey FIU -12.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 124.3 (+12.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FIU -7.7 (-0.7) 136.2 (+0.8) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FIU -10.9 (-3.9) 133.3 (+3.7) 83% ✓
Baseline ML FIU -11.3 (-4.3) 133.3 (+3.7) 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FIU -10.7 (-3.7) 130.4 (+6.6) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2024 FIU 81 – 72 STET
Dec 20, 2023 STET 80 – 68 FIU

Game Analysis

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