Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -12.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -10.7 (-3.7) | 130.4 (+6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -11.3 (-4.3) | 133.3 (+3.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -10.9 (-3.9) | 133.3 (+3.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -7.7 (-0.7) | 136.2 (+0.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | FIU 81 – 72 STET |
| Dec 20, 2023 | STET 80 – 68 FIU |
Game Analysis
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