Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -8000 HCU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +36 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -27.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -23.7 (+12.3) | 143.7 (-1.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -24.9 (+11.1) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -27.9 (+8.1) | 141.5 (+0.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -28.5 (+7.5) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | SMU 102 – 75 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 84.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#54) | -13.8 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#123) | -4.02 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#92) | -5.17 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#145) | 0.388 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 21.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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