Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -125 MONT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -0.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -0.9 (-12.9) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -1.5 (-13.5) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -1.6 (-13.6) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -0.8 (-12.8) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2023 | MONT 78 – 65 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#252) | 1.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#284) | 0.05 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#264) | 0.13 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#288) | 0.561 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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