Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -140 UCD +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -13.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.3 (+7.7) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -5.1 (+7.9) | 142.0 (+1.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.6 (+8.4) | 142.0 (+1.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | MONT 73 – 61 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#178) | -2.6 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#187) | 0.62 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#185) | 0.54 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#28) | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 54.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 22.0 |
| OREB / G | 3.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 8.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 8.3% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 47.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 3.0% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.