Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SIE +750 COR -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +21 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -21.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -12.7 (-8.3) | 143.9 (+25.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.8 (-10.2) | 149.8 (+19.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -11.3 (-9.7) | 144.3 (+24.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -13.9 (-7.1) | 147.1 (+21.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2024 | SIE 83 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-3 |
| Home | 2-12 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -21.3 (#362) | 4.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#347) | 1.88 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.14 (#348) | 2.32 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.319 (#362) | 0.570 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 24.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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