Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COR -1000 SIE +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -12.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -10.6 (-16.6) | 143.9 (+16.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -13.8 (-19.8) | 145.4 (+14.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -10.4 (-16.4) | 144.2 (+15.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.9 (-16.9) | 144.1 (+15.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | COR 95 – 74 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#117) | -5.6 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#142) | -0.49 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#147) | -0.83 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#126) | 0.458 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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