Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -213 WKU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -4.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -4.0 (-7.0) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -3.6 (-6.6) | 142.3 (+0.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -3.6 (-6.6) | 143.6 (-0.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -4.9 (-7.9) | 143.8 (-0.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#166) | 0.0 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#159) | 0.39 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#154) | 0.32 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#202) | 0.485 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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