Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | CP +222 EWU -278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +9 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -1.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-41.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -2.9 (-11.9) | 145.3 (-30.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CP -2.5 (-11.5) | 149.3 (-34.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.4 (-11.4) | 148.2 (-33.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.4 (-8.6) | 144.9 (-29.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2024 | CP 82 – 78 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 15-3 |
| Home | 3-11 | 11-1 |
| Away | 0-16 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#310) | -4.6 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#238) | -0.10 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#271) | -0.19 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#290) | 0.545 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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