Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -210 CP +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -8.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -8.5 (-12.5) | 149.8 (+10.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.7 (-10.7) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.3 (-10.3) | 148.5 (+11.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -10.7 (-14.7) | 149.5 (+10.5) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | EWU 62 – 53 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 83.4 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#112) | 1.7 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#173) | 0.04 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#150) | 0.39 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#151) | 0.517 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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