Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | HC +215 QUIN -267 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +20 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -5.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -7.8 (-12.2) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -6.8 (-13.2) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.2 (-13.8) | 145.8 (-11.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -5.6 (-14.4) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | HC 70 – 69 QUIN |
| Dec 8, 2022 | QUIN 75 – 71 HC |
| Nov 16, 2021 | QUIN 76 – 68 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-14 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#355) | -5.2 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#331) | -0.13 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#338) | -0.51 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#335) | 0.475 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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