Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | QUIN -800 HC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -16.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -7.3 (+0.7) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -7.5 (+0.5) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -6.9 (+1.1) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | HC 70 – 69 QUIN |
| Dec 19, 2023 | QUIN 77 – 57 HC |
| Dec 8, 2022 | QUIN 75 – 71 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#199) | -6.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#187) | -0.25 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#188) | -0.31 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#70) | 0.625 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 28.4% |
| ORB% | 13.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 5.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 62.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 81.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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