Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HC +400 QUIN -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -11.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -9.8 (+5.8) | 136.4 (+9.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -8.6 (+4.6) | 136.6 (+9.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -10.2 (+6.2) | 137.8 (+8.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -9.5 (+5.5) | 138.1 (+7.9) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | HC 70 – 69 QUIN |
| Dec 19, 2023 | QUIN 77 – 57 HC |
| Nov 16, 2021 | QUIN 76 – 68 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#355) | 3.0 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#351) | 1.01 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.43 (#348) | 1.42 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#334) | 0.500 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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