I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
M&T Bank Arena · December 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -10.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money QUIN -700 / HC +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual HC +1 139 Lost
Massey QUIN -6.6 (-7.6)
Massey Totals 143.0 (-4.0)
Bradley-Terry 61%
Weighted B-T 60%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -5.0 (-6.0) 138.0 (+1.0) 67%
Baseline ML QUIN -4.4 (-5.4) 139.4 (-0.4) 65%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -3.8 (-4.8) 139.4 (-0.4) 68%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -7.2 (-8.2) 141.0 (-2.0) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 19, 2023 QUIN 7757 HC
Dec 8, 2022 QUIN 7571 HC
Nov 16, 2021 QUIN 7668 HC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN HC
Overall 20-13 13-19
Conference 15-5 5-13
Home 12-2 7-6
Away 7-10 4-13
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.0 68.6
Avg Pts Against 72.2 73.7
Massey -5.0 (#256) -7.4 (#290)
Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#194) 0.16 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.63 (#209) -0.15 (#178)
RPI 0.492 (#189) 0.514 (#147)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN HC
FG% 40.1% 42.8%
3PT% 26.1% 36.4%
REB / G 35.8 30.8
OREB / G 12.4 8.4
AST / TO 0.93 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.4% 50.5%
TOV% 17.5% 18.7%
ORB% 32.4% 25.6%
FT Rate 21.5% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 15.4%
DRB% 64.4% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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