Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 161.0 Over |
| Money | EVAN -305 UTM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +7 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -10.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -7.2 (-0.2) | 165.0 (+24.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -9.0 (-2.0) | 164.2 (+24.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -9.2 (-2.2) | 166.2 (+22.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -10.0 (-3.0) | 165.5 (+23.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | UTM 93 – 87 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#116) | -2.7 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#60) | -0.32 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#73) | -0.84 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#44) | 0.487 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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