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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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54–18 on winners spread MAE 7.6 72 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -5.3 131.9 25% 72–65 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.6 144.6 45% 86–76 ✗
Texas State @ Sam Houston +5.2 135.4 70% 73–60 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +21.4 155.8 90% 68–90 ✓
Cleveland State @ Bradley +7.7 143.1 74% 76–69 ✗
New Mexico @ New Mexico State -12.5 158.3 13% 73–72 ✓
UConn @ Gonzaga -4.6 144.2 31% 76–63 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State +8.2 135.5 77% 58–61 ✓
Portland State @ San Diego -0.5 140.5 50% 65–69 ✗
LSU @ Texas +6.9 138.4 76% 85–96 ✓
La Salle @ Miami +14.7 153.6 87% 77–84 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Penn State +2.1 142.5 58% 82–81 ✗
Lindenwood @ IU Indianapolis -2.3 137.8 32% 73–67 ✓
Kansas @ Indiana -2.3 145.2 39% 75–71 ✓
NJIT @ Niagara +3.4 144.1 70% 81–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Rutgers +23.1 135.4 91% 61–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Providence +20.0 140.8 90% 64–78 ✓
Indiana State @ Ball State -13.4 149.2 14% 83–72 ✓
Baylor @ Michigan State -6.0 140.3 31% 64–88 ✗
James Madison @ Hampton -13.1 162.5 13% 88–71 ✓
Dartmouth @ Le Moyne +2.0 136.6 63% 54–80 ✓
Southern @ Tulane +11.3 156.7 84% 81–105 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Mercer +2.9 129.6 59% 65–70 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hofstra +10.4 143.9 82% 58–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Presbyterian -1.6 158.9 43% 94–84 ✓
Towson @ Bryant -1.4 129.9 41% 93–101 ✗
Rider @ Monmouth +7.9 143.4 78% 71–77 ✓
UAlbany @ Drexel +8.2 135.6 78% 52–71 ✓
Kansas City @ Bowling Green +5.5 139.2 71% 69–79 ✓
Washington State @ Santa Clara -8.0 144.4 25% 61–69 ✗
Western Michigan @ UIC +10.6 132.4 85% 68–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Pittsburgh +25.2 147.5 91% 50–86 ✓
Temple @ VCU +8.2 146.2 75% 78–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Notre Dame +3.4 136.6 63% 72–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Houston +6.2 127.7 76% 66–70 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan +21.1 145.6 90% 66–83 ✓
Clemson @ Memphis +3.4 149.0 65% 77–79 ✓
Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky +10.9 134.9 82% 64–65 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Georgia Southern -8.5 141.2 23% 82–77 ✓
Rice @ Northwestern State -6.0 143.1 29% 76–51 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State +5.8 131.9 71% 60–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Tulsa +0.5 146.2 68% 72–73 ✓
Belmont @ Samford +5.2 163.1 72% 93–99 ✓
Radford @ Bucknell -2.5 134.1 39% 70–63 ✓
Fordham @ St. John's +11.5 144.9 85% 55–77 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ St. Bonaventure -9.1 144.1 21% 64–54 ✓
San Francisco @ Utah State +2.5 134.5 62% 53–54 ✓
Chicago State @ Valparaiso +3.4 132.2 59% 63–62 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Murray State +9.3 138.0 80% 61–55 ✗
Evansville @ Bellarmine +0.4 142.3 50% 70–61 ✗
North Alabama @ Tennessee Tech -1.8 145.3 43% 67–70 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah +12.4 141.8 87% 62–76 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona +1.4 143.9 55% 74–76 ✓
Vermont @ Virginia Tech +8.4 135.0 79% 51–73 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ App State +7.0 138.4 76% 59–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ South Florida +4.6 141.3 70% 64–77 ✓
Arizona @ Purdue -2.5 161.1 51% 84–92 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa +22.4 150.7 90% 52–88 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Loyola Marymount +2.0 143.1 60% 68–59 ✗
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate -3.9 141.7 39% 70–53 ✓
Central Connecticut @ UMass Lowell +13.3 141.8 84% 57–54 ✗
Air Force @ UT Arlington -1.2 133.7 48% 73–76 ✗
UC Davis @ Pacific -4.5 134.4 28% 82–61 ✓
Rhode Island @ Delaware +6.0 140.3 75% 56–67 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky -1.4 162.2 49% 83–87 ✗
Northwestern @ DePaul -6.3 141.3 23% 56–46 ✓
High Point @ Georgia +4.5 146.2 71% 58–66 ✓
Northeastern @ Virginia +18.2 127.8 89% 54–56 ✓
Lipscomb @ Arkansas +3.0 151.4 68% 66–69 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +20.3 133.8 90% 69–73 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ George Mason +15.8 138.0 88% 54–62 ✓
West Virginia @ Massachusetts +2.9 144.3 63% 79–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.