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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 9.8 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Mary's @ UNLV -4.0 130.7 25% 69–67 ✓
Charlotte @ Richmond +4.4 133.7 65% 56–64 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Marshall +1.4 150.8 53% 65–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Wichita State +3.1 141.2 70% 68–69 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Iona -4.6 135.3 33% 83–58 ✓
Dayton @ Cincinnati +3.8 140.7 60% 82–68 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Purdue Fort Wayne +14.2 152.4 87% 63–86 ✓
California @ Ole Miss +4.0 143.3 66% 78–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas Tech +11.0 141.0 82% 54–76 ✓
Winthrop @ Xavier +13.3 153.0 86% 59–75 ✓
Alabama @ Creighton +5.2 165.6 74% 82–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Saint Louis -5.8 136.0 34% 74–75 ✗
California Baptist @ UC Riverside -1.6 133.2 43% 70–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Alabama A&M -7.3 152.8 32% 88–72 ✓
SMU @ Florida State +0.1 140.0 53% 68–57 ✗
Green Bay @ Oklahoma +21.4 136.4 90% 47–81 ✓
Georgia State @ BYU +25.4 154.8 91% 54–86 ✓
Weber State @ Wyoming +1.6 133.7 53% 84–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Utah Tech +9.9 138.9 79% 79–62 ✗
Portland @ Grand Canyon +10.9 148.0 84% 63–91 ✓
Texas Southern @ North Carolina A&T -6.2 142.5 34% 79–85 ✗
NC State @ Tennessee +4.4 145.9 68% 70–79 ✓
Arizona State @ TCU +5.9 150.8 73% 59–79 ✓
South Dakota @ UC Irvine +14.9 146.6 88% 78–121 ✓
Jackson State @ Howard +3.0 148.4 60% 81–74 ✗
Colgate @ Illinois +13.8 143.9 88% 57–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Oregon +3.1 147.3 64% 83–63 ✗
Stony Brook @ Army -0.5 134.2 46% 78–74 ✓
USC @ Auburn +12.0 153.3 86% 75–91 ✓
Alcorn State @ Northern Iowa +14.0 153.9 88% 82–100 ✓
Stetson @ Omaha +0.5 139.0 54% 80–88 ✓
Pepperdine @ Louisville -0.8 143.5 54% 63–85 ✗
Wagner @ Fairfield +6.1 133.2 72% 51–63 ✓
VMI @ Longwood +17.7 136.9 89% 49–68 ✓
Hartford @ Stonehill — — — 44–71 —
UTSA @ Oregon State +7.3 154.6 80% 65–66 ✓
Nebraska @ Kansas State +6.2 149.2 78% 62–46 ✗
UTEP @ Abilene Christian +3.7 136.2 69% 82–88 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Boise State +11.0 130.2 85% 65–88 ✓
North Texas @ Mississippi State +3.9 127.3 65% 54–72 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky +0.8 140.6 45% 85–75 ✗
North Dakota State @ Illinois State +2.7 133.1 67% 65–75 ✓
Louisiana @ McNeese +8.1 136.2 81% 72–74 ✓
Montana @ San José State +6.7 137.9 69% 86–75 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +7.0 144.2 80% 60–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ Missouri +0.8 136.8 52% 93–87 ✗
Idaho @ Stanford +11.6 147.5 81% 64–82 ✓
Howard @ Texas Southern -4.0 143.0 30% 78–79 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa State +28.6 142.6 91% 58–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.