But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–13 on winners spread MAE 7.4 64 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -13.1 168.7 12% 97–88 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville -12.3 141.7 20% 73–83 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -9.8 140.0 17% 82–80 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia -4.8 146.9 32% 65–71 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +8.6 148.2 82% 66–86 ✓
Troy @ Marshall +6.9 148.0 75% 78–88 ✓
Louisiana @ James Madison +2.5 149.8 68% 68–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +1.6 143.7 62% 60–80 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +10.5 126.9 85% 62–83 ✓
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +1.9 143.4 59% 70–67 ✗
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +3.7 129.5 69% 65–70 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +5.4 147.9 75% 98–93 ✗
Creighton @ St. John's -3.2 153.2 33% 77–67 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +10.0 154.6 85% 68–78 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida -0.8 158.1 48% 84–66 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington +9.0 130.2 81% 47–61 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Rice +2.3 153.2 62% 77–83 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian +2.1 151.2 66% 74–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +1.6 135.7 62% 72–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +4.2 146.3 71% 85–90 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +4.3 144.1 72% 66–75 ✓
Sam Houston @ Tarleton State -4.8 127.3 33% 64–59 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U -0.5 147.2 53% 67–58 ✓
Western Illinois @ St. Thomas +4.7 145.9 75% 69–82 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +12.4 156.3 87% 66–74 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City +3.4 135.0 62% 81–73 ✗
South Dakota State @ Omaha -6.1 145.8 24% 91–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -0.0 135.2 58% 63–74 ✗
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb +2.7 131.5 65% 59–62 ✓
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -2.5 142.8 47% 65–67 ✗
Santa Clara @ Portland -2.5 155.9 37% 103–84 ✓
North Texas @ UTEP -5.8 122.8 21% 80–72 ✓
Penn State @ Minnesota -9.0 139.3 20% 76–69 ✓
Montana @ Montana State +6.1 130.3 73% 68–72 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +12.3 130.8 87% 65–71 ✓
Stanford @ USC +7.0 139.0 79% 75–85 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +7.6 156.5 82% 88–90 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +4.4 131.8 70% 62–75 ✓
Weber State @ Portland State -0.3 138.7 50% 65–57 ✓
California @ UCLA +21.6 127.5 90% 43–78 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +4.2 142.1 74% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Purdue +10.5 139.5 86% 55–82 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State +2.9 153.3 70% 69–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +15.9 152.0 90% 68–81 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +11.1 148.1 87% 53–76 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -2.4 126.4 39% 50–48 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's -9.9 127.6 17% 73–53 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +3.4 139.0 64% 88–90 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +0.5 139.2 52% 74–75 ✓
Niagara @ Marist -0.3 128.1 50% 52–61 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairfield +4.2 133.2 64% 73–72 ✗
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +6.1 140.5 72% 83–81 ✗
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +0.2 153.3 59% 75–77 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +12.8 142.1 86% 64–72 ✓
East Carolina @ SMU +3.6 146.2 65% 70–86 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +0.3 145.2 55% 73–74 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +7.6 138.7 71% 68–62 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +2.7 131.7 59% 63–64 ✓
Hartford @ Chicago State +12.2 133.8 87% 53–75 ✓
Belmont @ Drake +6.4 151.2 75% 56–70 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine +7.0 146.4 79% 67–68 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska -3.8 133.3 34% 66–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Furman +13.4 143.8 88% 79–83 ✓
Iowa @ Northwestern +2.5 139.4 58% 60–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.