Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | HCU -213 LAM +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +19 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | HCU -2.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -0.7 (+18.3) | 150.1 (+16.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -2.1 (+16.9) | 151.2 (+15.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -1.0 (+18.0) | 151.8 (+15.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -0.7 (+18.3) | 153.5 (+13.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#357) | -13.4 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#355) | -2.13 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#354) | -2.95 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#353) | 0.387 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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