Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +260 SDST -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +21 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -4.2 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -4.5 (-16.5) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -6.1 (-14.9) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -4.3 (-16.7) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -4.4 (-16.6) | 148.8 (+12.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SDST 84 – 69 OMA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#313) | -0.5 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#289) | 0.54 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#289) | 0.13 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#264) | 0.567 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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