Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SJU +210 CREI -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -5.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -3.9 (-6.1) | 154.0 (-10.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.2 (-6.8) | 153.2 (-9.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.1 (-5.9) | 151.9 (-7.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.3 (-5.7) | 153.8 (-9.8) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#93) | 15.1 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#78) | 2.00 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#74) | 2.78 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#141) | 0.586 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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