Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -115 WEB -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +8 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -2.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -1.1 (-9.1) | 142.0 (-20.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.3 (-7.7) | 138.7 (-16.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -1.6 (-9.6) | 144.9 (-22.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -1.3 (-9.3) | 145.6 (-23.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#226) | -2.3 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#237) | -0.21 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#238) | -0.51 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#232) | 0.483 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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