We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -15.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money DETM -2000 / IUIN +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +13 149 Won
Massey DETM -20.0 (-7.0) — —
Massey Totals — 152.8 (-3.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DETM -18.2 (-5.2) 153.4 (-4.4) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -15.9 (-2.9) 152.0 (-3.0) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -16.9 (-3.9) 155.6 (-6.6) 90% ✓
Baseline ML DETM -18.0 (-5.0) 155.7 (-6.7) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 DETM 80 – 77 IUIN
Dec 4, 2025 DETM 92 – 78 IUIN
Feb 20, 2025 IUIN 80 – 71 DETM
Jan 9, 2025 IUIN 95 – 61 DETM
Feb 15, 2024 DETM 81 – 66 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM IUIN
Overall 14-19 5-27
Conference 9-11 2-18
Home 9-5 4-9
Away 5-13 0-15
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.1 65.2
Avg Pts Against 75.7 78.6
Massey -1.0 (#195) -17.4 (#360)
Bradley-Terry -0.69 (#245) -3.54 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.49 (#217) -4.11 (#361)
RPI 0.474 (#234) 0.348 (#363)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM IUIN
FG% 43.8% 44.6%
3PT% 39.6% 28.7%
REB / G 36.0 30.7
OREB / G 12.4 8.9
AST / TO 1.06 0.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 49.0%
TOV% 17.5% 23.4%
ORB% 34.4% 27.8%
FT Rate 20.5% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 55.9%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 17.3%
DRB% 69.7% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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