Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -213 GTWN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -10.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -8.0 (-14.0) | 137.4 (-7.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -7.6 (-13.6) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -7.6 (-13.6) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -8.4 (-14.4) | 135.9 (-5.9) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-6 | 5-12 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#101) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#99) | -0.97 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#102) | -1.00 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#158) | 0.436 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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