Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Quinnipiac Bobcats
90 – 88 2OT
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money QUIN -138 / RID +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +2 178 Won
Massey QUIN -5.8 (-3.8) — —
Massey Totals — 141.5 (+36.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -4.1 (-2.1) 140.4 (+37.6) 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -3.4 (-1.4) 139.0 (+39.0) 64% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -3.7 (-1.7) 141.2 (+36.8) 67% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -3.5 (-1.5) 141.4 (+36.6) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 QUIN 72 – 58 RID
Mar 12, 2025 QUIN 78 – 64 RID
Jan 25, 2025 QUIN 75 – 64 RID
Dec 7, 2024 QUIN 72 – 67 RID
Feb 25, 2024 RID 88 – 78 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN RID
Overall 20-12 16-14
Conference 11-9 13-7
Home 9-4 8-5
Away 9-6 8-6
Neutral 2-2 0-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.5 69.6
Avg Pts Against 69.8 68.2
Massey 1.3 (#144) -0.9 (#193)
Bradley-Terry 0.21 (#152) -0.22 (#198)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#154) -0.27 (#191)
RPI 0.521 (#136) 0.509 (#163)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN RID
FG% 42.9% 45.2%
3PT% 35.1% 32.7%
REB / G 38.7 36.3
OREB / G 11.9 11.1
AST / TO 0.95 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 49.5%
TOV% 18.7% 18.5%
ORB% 33.4% 34.0%
FT Rate 21.6% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 16.3%
DRB% 73.4% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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