Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -120 NKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -4.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.7 (-1.7) | 133.4 (-6.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.7 (-1.7) | 131.7 (-4.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.8 (-1.8) | 132.1 (-5.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.6 (-1.6) | 133.7 (-6.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#168) | -1.2 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#173) | -0.09 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#167) | 0.01 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.515 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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