Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -250 CSUN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -5.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -4.3 (+8.7) | 131.7 (+5.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -4.4 (+8.6) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -4.7 (+8.3) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -4.5 (+8.5) | 132.4 (+4.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#282) | -8.0 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#299) | -2.22 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#298) | -2.53 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#292) | 0.374 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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