Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -1400 ETSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -14.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -13.6 (-9.6) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -13.4 (-9.4) | 143.8 (+18.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -13.9 (-9.9) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -13.0 (-9.0) | 144.4 (+17.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-9 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#84) | -4.4 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#114) | -1.57 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#110) | -1.58 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#107) | 0.430 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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