Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -500 PAC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -8.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.8 (-4.8) | 157.7 (+20.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -7.6 (-5.6) | 156.5 (+21.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -7.6 (-5.6) | 156.7 (+21.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -7.3 (-5.3) | 157.3 (+20.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#112) | -1.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#91) | -0.30 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#98) | -0.31 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#100) | 0.460 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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