Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF -500 CP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -13.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -10.6 (+10.4) | 128.8 (+16.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -10.5 (+10.5) | 126.9 (+18.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -10.6 (+10.4) | 128.8 (+16.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -10.9 (+10.1) | 127.7 (+17.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 78 CP |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CP 94 – 91 CSUF |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CP 100 – 61 CSUF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | CP 98 – 83 CSUF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-18 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#135) | -7.8 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#162) | -1.99 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#168) | -2.20 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#162) | 0.394 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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