Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF +215 CP -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +15 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -4.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -3.8 (-11.2) | 152.2 (+28.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -2.2 (-12.8) | 156.2 (+24.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -4.0 (-11.0) | 152.2 (+28.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -4.0 (-11.0) | 152.8 (+28.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 78 CP |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CP 94 – 91 CSUF |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CP 100 – 61 CSUF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUF 54 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 83.4 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#333) | -3.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#327) | -0.43 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#322) | -0.64 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#319) | 0.477 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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