Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -500 CP +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -11.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -10.7 (+7.3) | 131.6 (-13.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -9.1 (+8.9) | 133.7 (-15.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -8.9 (+9.1) | 133.1 (-15.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -8.6 (+9.4) | 133.1 (-15.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 78 CP |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CP 94 – 91 CSUF |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CP 100 – 61 CSUF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | CP 98 – 83 CSUF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUF 54 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 0-20 |
| Home | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Away | 6-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#244) | -11.9 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#229) | -2.21 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#239) | -2.75 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#216) | 0.383 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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