This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Atlantic Sun Conference · Baptist Health Arena · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread EKU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money EKU -400 / UNA +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total EKU win
Actual UNA +5 191 Lost
Massey EKU -7.7 (-12.7) — —
Massey Totals — 151.3 (+39.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EKU -4.7 (-9.7) 152.5 (+38.5) 73% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EKU -5.4 (-10.4) 147.9 (+43.1) 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EKU -4.9 (-9.9) 149.4 (+41.6) 71% ✗
Baseline ML EKU -4.6 (-9.6) 152.6 (+38.4) 72% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 UNA 84 – 78 EKU
Jan 9, 2026 EKU 88 – 80 UNA
Jan 4, 2025 UNA 88 – 67 EKU
Feb 23, 2024 EKU 75 – 72 UNA
Jan 14, 2024 EKU 81 – 72 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EKU UNA
Overall 23-14 18-15
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 14-2 9-4
Away 5-10 8-10
Neutral 4-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 73.8 71.8
Avg Pts Against 73.7 76.5
Massey -0.8 (#189) -4.9 (#254)
Bradley-Terry 0.57 (#122) 0.21 (#153)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#142) -0.15 (#184)
RPI 0.547 (#96) 0.506 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors EKU UNA
FG% 42.0% 45.7%
3PT% 31.9% 36.0%
REB / G 38.0 33.5
OREB / G 12.8 8.2
AST / TO 1.10 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 51.7%
TOV% 17.3% 15.7%
ORB% 32.5% 24.2%
FT Rate 17.4% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 15.4%
DRB% 68.9% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.