Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -300 BEL +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +14 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -7.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -7.2 (+6.8) | 151.3 (-25.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -6.4 (+7.6) | 151.2 (-25.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -7.5 (+6.5) | 151.1 (-25.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -6.8 (+7.2) | 152.5 (-26.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#80) | 3.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#62) | 0.66 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#66) | 0.55 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#51) | 0.558 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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