Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Big West Conference · Walter Pyramid · February 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money LBSU -154 / HAW +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total LBSU win
Actual HAW +3 137 Lost
Massey LBSU -2.9 (-5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 145.5 (-8.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -1.7 (-4.7) 144.4 (-7.4) 61% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LBSU -1.9 (-4.9) 143.4 (-6.4) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -2.4 (-5.4) 145.6 (-8.6) 61% ✗
Baseline ML LBSU -1.8 (-4.8) 145.3 (-8.3) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 LBSU 84 – 75 HAW
Jan 31, 2026 HAW 89 – 82 LBSU
Feb 14, 2025 HAW 62 – 60 LBSU
Dec 7, 2024 LBSU 76 – 68 HAW
Feb 25, 2024 HAW 73 – 65 LBSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LBSU HAW
Overall 17-16 22-11
Conference 11-9 13-7
Home 9-5 13-5
Away 6-9 6-4
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 75.6 66.5
Avg Pts Against 75.7 62.0
Massey 1.2 (#145) 1.9 (#134)
Bradley-Terry 0.19 (#157) 0.29 (#144)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#135) 0.71 (#117)
RPI 0.528 (#122) 0.502 (#175)
Shooting & Four Factors LBSU HAW
FG% 44.6% 42.7%
3PT% 29.6% 32.1%
REB / G 41.2 35.0
OREB / G 13.5 10.1
AST / TO 1.02 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 48.6%
TOV% 18.5% 18.6%
ORB% 35.6% 30.4%
FT Rate 22.1% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 44.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.3%
DRB% 72.3% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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