Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -1400 NDSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -16.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -15.5 (-7.5) | 158.1 (-18.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -12.4 (-4.4) | 156.3 (-16.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -14.6 (-6.6) | 155.5 (-15.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -15.6 (-7.6) | 156.0 (-16.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 11-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#41) | -2.7 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#31) | -0.58 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#40) | -0.64 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#17) | 0.492 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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