Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | KC -150 UND +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -4.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -2.0 (-10.0) | 136.5 (+17.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -3.4 (-11.4) | 135.0 (+19.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -2.0 (-10.0) | 134.9 (+19.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -2.4 (-10.4) | 136.0 (+18.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#268) | -6.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#251) | -1.21 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#257) | -1.36 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#263) | 0.429 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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